Standings as of the end of the games played on 9/13/07, as per Yahoo Sports.
With only 2.5 weeks left in the season, methinks it’s time for some predictions.
(I don’t know why any of this would offend anyone, but I feel like I should apologise in advance, in case it does?)
I don’t follow the American League, so all I am going on is the current standings.
There is not a whole lot of room to argue about which teams will be in the playoffs this year. The Red Sox are leading the East by 5.5 games, The Indians are leading the Central by 5.5 games, the ‘Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim’ are leadin gthe West by 9 games, and the Yankees are leading the Wild Card by…like a lot. Depending on what happens over the next two weeks, it IS possible that the Tigers could take the Wild Card.
Okay I am pretty up on the times on what is going on in the National League.
The Mets are leading the East by 6.5 games. The Central and the West divisions are a little more complicated than that. Okay, a LOT more complicated. Right now The Diamondbacks are leading the West by 3.5 games, but The D-backs and The Padres have been back and forth quite a bit this season (I will get to why later). Then there is The Central. The Brewers had sole possession of first place for 125(?) consecutive days. The Cubs managed to pull themselves up from 12.5 plus games back to sole possession of first place. Since then it has been a bit of back and forth and ties between The Brewers and The Cubs, with The Cardinals creeping up as close as two games out of first, not even a week ago.
Right now The Cardinals are five games out of first place, with no days off this month, including a double header this Saturday. They also just lost two of their star players to the DL, one with a fractured eye socket. They have four games with The Cubs this weekend, including a double header. If The Cardinals want to stay in the pennant race, they will have to take 3 out of 4 of those games…
The Padres are leading the wild card by pretty much the same percentage as the Yankees are. They were saying on Comcast SportsNet that The Phillies, The Dodgers, and The Rockies are all still in The Wild Card race.
So basically the NL playoffs are pretty much up in the air right now.
There’s more to it than current standings
There is a lot more to take into consideration than current standings.
As far as the NL West goes, I think I know why The Padres and the D-backs keep going back and forth. in June Michael Barrett was traded from The Cubs to The Padres, while they were in first place. Not long after acquiring him, they dropped into second place. I read somewhere (can’t remember where) that The Padres win like three out of every 12 games Michael Barrett catches for, so it’s probably no coincidence that when he went on the DL a few weeks ago, The Padres magically pulled themselves up into first place, and consequently slipped back into second when they activated him. It’s also probably not a coincidence that after he was traded, The Cubs magically started winning games.
There are also the infamous cuses, such as The San Diego Sports Curse. This curse has no origin, so it is probably just a coincidence.
Then there is my favorite curse: The Ex-Cubs Factor, which is most likely a corellation of The Billy Goat Curse, where the owner of The Billy Goat Tavern was s durious The Cubs would not allow him to bring his pet goat into Wrigley Field, he put a curse on The Cubs that they would never win a world series again. That was in 1945 and The Cubs have yet to even SEE a World Series since then.
Anyway, The Ex-Cubs Factor theory was developed in 1981. The theory is that any team with three or more former Cubs cannot win The World Series. If both teams in the World Series have three or more former Cubs, the team with the most amount of former Cubs will lose.
Here are the 2007 Ex-Cub Factor standings for potential playoff contenders, based on the current active rosters:
In the AL…
Red Sox- Julian Tavarez
*Yankees- Kyle Farnsworth, Jose Molina
Indians- Joe Borowski, Kenny Lofton
Angels- Justin Speier, Gary Matthews Jr
*Tigers- Clay Rapada (I think Clay Rapada only played one game with The Cubs, but still counts)
*Possible Wild Card
According to this, The Red Sox are on their way to The World Series, unless The Tigers take the Wild Card
In the NL…
Mets- Mike DiFelice, Moises Alou
Brewers- Ray King, Damian Miller
Cardinals- Todd Wellemeyer, Miguel Cairo
Cubs- are exempt from this?, but if you want to get technical, Steve Trachsel left The Cubs for a while, then came back
*Padres- Greg Maddux, Michael Barrett
Diamondbacks- Juan Cruz, Augie Ojeda
*Phillies- Jamie Moyer, Antonio Alfonseca, Tom Gordon
*Dodgers- Nomar Garciaparra, Ramon Martinez, Luis Gonzalez, Juan Pierre
*Rockies- LaTroy Hawkins, Dan Serafini
According to this, The Wild Card is between The Padres and The Rockies, however, the Rockies are currently in 4th place for The Wild Card. Also, if The D-backs wind up slipping into second, they will probably take The Wild Card. And there’s really no way to guess from this who from the NL will wind up in the World Series.
Something else to take into consideration with the NL central is the schedule for the rest of the month. If The Cardinals are not done falling apart and this weekend’s series doesn’t do them in, they still have three games with The Phillies, three with The Brewers, and one with The Mets. The Cubs still have two days off this month, and no games left with teams above .500. The Brewers have no more days off this month and four games with The Braves, who are above .500. If The Brewers are still in the pennant race by the end of the month, their last four games of the season are against The Padres, who will most likely put them out of their misery.
My prediction is The Cubs will not only wind up in The World Series, but they will win it. And I tell you why it will be The Cubs. Yeah we have curses, curse, and more curses, blah blah blah. The Red Sox broke their curse after 86 years and won The World Series in 2004. In 2005, one of The Cubs two biggest rivals (The White Sox) won The World Series. In 2006, The Cubs other biggest rival (The Cardinals) won The World Series. Based on who won the last three years, I would say it is definitely The Cubs’ year to win.
Also, the only team to break the Ex-Cubs Factor curse since it was first realised, was the 2001 Arizona Diamondbacks, managed by none other than The Cubs very own current colour commmentator, Bob Brenly!
year 2000 off season
The Cubs will be auctioned off on eBay. They will be bought by Angelina Jolie and Brad Pitt, who will trade all of the American players for players from other countries.